Jonny Thomson on Instagram: "Bayes Theorem is probably one of the most important things any rational person can learn, because so many of our debates and disagreements that we shout at each other about are because we don’t understand how our beliefs work. Bayes Theorem goes back to the 18th century, Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula which asks: when we are presented with the evidence for something, how much should we believe it? Bayes Theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed.

Cue Cases

How to Make a Pool Cue Case in 6 Easy Steps - Table Games Hub

Signal Detection Theory | Definition & Examples

#ad Sleep sacks make the perfect bedtime cue, and we’ve been loving the one @kytebaby sent over! 💖 Comment ✨SLEEP✨ for the link sent directly to you, or I linked all our nighttime favorites (this sleep sack, the softest ribbed PJs, and her crib sheet) on my LTK so you can easily shop them all in one place! Kyte Baby’s sleep sacks are incredibly soft, the butterfly print is adorable (they seriously have the cutest patterns!), and it keeps her cozy safe while still being breathable — no overheati